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Archive for February, 2020

9 Mid-February Economic Nuggets

Wednesday, February 19th, 2020

Article source: ConstructConnect

There are certainly hints that the coronavirus outbreak could be the ‘Black Swan’ that will bring the decade-long period of U.S. economic expansion to an end. Are the statistics being reported out of China accurate? How virulent is the disease? Can it realistically be contained within limited geographic regions?

Nine Mid-February Economic Nuggets GraphicSuspensions of airline routes, postponements of travel plans, and overseas cancellations of high-profile sporting events, as well as an underlying shift in peoples’ appetite for dining out, cruising their local mall, or gathering in a public space do not bode well for the next while at least, or until more clarity has been achieved concerning COVID-19’s damaging effects.

Nevertheless, the latest weeks have featured a particularly active generation of private sector and government agency data releases concerning the economy. Some of the best ‘nuggets’ are summarized below.

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U.S. Stock Market Gains a Wonder to Behold

Monday, February 17th, 2020

Article source: ConstructConnect

What’s the Fascination with Stock Markets?

There are publicly-traded companies engaged directly in the construction industry, and others with close ties to the construction sector, that have obvious reasons to be interested in how stock markets are performing. As just one example, executives of such firms may have compensation packages that rise commensurate with increases in their companies’ share prices.

U.S. Stock Market Gains a Wonder to Behold Graphic

There are numerous other, but not quite so obvious, reasons that stock market trajectories are watched closely by analysts studying the economy and construction industries.
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U.S. Jobs Creation Juggernaut Roared Again in January

Monday, February 10th, 2020

Article source: ConstructConnect

U.S. jobs creation in January, on a seasonally adjusted (SA) basis and as calculated by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), was a strikingly good +225,000. While +225,000 was down somewhat from the +269,000 figure for January of last year, it was well ahead of 2019’s monthly average of +175,000. U.S. Jobs Creation Juggernaut Roared Again in January GraphicThe weekly initial jobless claims number had been signaling that January’s labor report would be quite positive. For the week ending February 1st, initial jobless claims dropped down close to 200,000. There were a few weeks in December 2019 when it rose to or near 250,000, albeit with the GM strike as background. Nevertheless, that was temporarily worrisome. But fears about a break in America’s labor market strength have now dissipated.

The jobs increase was aided by an uptick in the participation rate, to 63.4% in January from 63.2% in December. In turn, though, the higher participation rate played a role in elevating the seasonally adjusted (SA) unemployment rate from 3.5% to 3.6%. The not seasonally adjusted (NSA) unemployment rate moved from an unusually low (i.e., for the time of year, winter) 3.4% in December 2019 to 4.0% in the kickoff month of 2019.

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