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Archive for April 16th, 2020

5 Mid-April Economic Nuggets

Thursday, April 16th, 2020

Article source: ConstructConnect

  • A forewarning for the U.S. in Canada’s March Labor Market Numbers
  • 5 Shocking Declines in Shopkeeper Sales, But 1 Good News Story
  • Canadian Part-time Work Evaporates
  • A Drop in Oil Demand that will Muddy the Waters for OPEC
  • S. Initial Jobless Claims Climb to 22 Million in 4 Weeks

The times are turbulent. There’s no point in dilly-dallying. Let’s jump right in with an examination of the latest data releases from public and private sector sources.

5 Shocking Declines in Shopkeeper Sales, But 1 Good News Story

March’s U.S. Advance Monthly Sales of Retail and Food Services report sets out some big month-to-month percentage changes. Most, but not all, were on the downside.

Five sub-categories experienced declines from February to March of more than one-fifth. Performing worst was the category ‘clothing and clothing accessory stores’, -50.5%. The four others with severe sales contractions were: ‘furniture and home furnishing stores’, -26.8%; ‘food services and drinking places’, -26.5%; ‘motor vehicle and parts dealers’, -25.6%; and ‘sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument and book stores’, -23.3%.
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Notes from the Trenches (15)

Thursday, April 16th, 2020

Article source: ConstructConnect

  • The following distills an assessment of the economy made by Moody’s Analytics. In this clock-stopped world we’re living in, all forms of tourism and commuter travel are down, reducing the demand for hotel rooms and refined oil (gasoline), which also means less need for exploration and extraction activity. The official names of the three most affected and interconnected industrial sectors are ‘transportation and warehousing’ (including air and cruise ship transport), ‘leisure and hospitality’, and ‘oil and gas extraction’. If your local economy is disproportionately dependent on one or more of those sectors, the speedbumps along your road ahead have added inches in height.
  • Three important sidebars to social distancing have freed up hospital beds for use by coronavirus patients. The stay-at-home edict has meant fewer traffic accidents and a reduced number of road-warrior injuries. Also, violent crime has taken a break. Instances of broken ribs, bruised fists and knife or gunshot wounds requiring medical attention are in remission. And finally, with everyone indoors, sports injuries are at a minimum.

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