Article source: ConstructConnect

• The following distills an assessment of the economy made by Moody’s Analytics. In this clock-stopped world we’re living in, all forms of tourism and commuter travel are down, reducing the demand for hotel rooms and refined oil (gasoline), which also means less need for exploration and extraction activity. The official names of the three most affected and interconnected industrial sectors are ‘transportation and warehousing’ (including air and cruise ship transport), ‘leisure and hospitality’, and ‘oil and gas extraction’. If your local economy is disproportionately dependent on one or more of those sectors, the speedbumps along your road ahead have added inches in height.

• Three important sidebars to social distancing have freed up hospital beds for use by coronavirus patients. The stay-at-home edict has meant fewer traffic accidents and a reduced number of road-warrior injuries. Also, violent crime has taken a break. Instances of broken ribs, bruised fists and knife or gunshot wounds requiring medical attention are in remission. And finally, with everyone indoors, sports injuries are at a minimum.

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Article source: ConstructConnect

• On the far side of this pandemic-induced economic freeze, how much will pervasive worrying about a second (or even third) wave of coronavirus infections slow the recovery? Current speculation is that even if COVID-19 runs its course through the spring and early summer, it might roar again when the warmer weather begins to chill in the fall. (Some viruses thrive more in cooler rather than warmer environments.)

• If there are next waves, each one is likely to be less severe and of shorter duration than the current one, since by then the supply of medical gear (ventilators, etc.) will have been vastly expanded. Also, a great deal of experience will have been gained in how best to deal with the silent and invisible intrusion.

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Article source: ConstructConnect

• The first impacts from coronavirus-caused shutdowns of factories in China cropped up in the February foreign trade statistics. The U.S. goods and services trade shortfall down-scaled to less than half a trillion dollars for the first time in three-and-a-half years, dating back to September 2016. China accounted for only one-third of the deficit in the latest month, versus its usual 45% to 50%. Mexico’s slice of the U.S. trade deficit, however, climbed above 20%, a historically high bite.

• It’s taken for granted that if we all stay home for a while, at least we’ll have plenty to watch on Netflix, Crave, Prime, etc. The downloadable and quick-steaming entertainment sites do have vast inventories of movies, series and documentaries to catch up on. As for new material, though, film and TV productions have been shut down just like other industries throughout the economy. For example, taping of Gray’s Anatomy wrapped up several episodes before its ‘de rigueur’ season-ending cliffhanger. Certain ‘tinseltowns’ are especially vulnerable as Klieg lights are dimmed (Hollywood, Atlanta, Toronto and Vancouver).

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• Nothing says ‘social distancing’ like robotics. One reaction to the international supply chain interruptions that have been caused by the spread of the coronavirus will be a move towards de-globalization of manufacturing. This won’t necessarily be of huge benefit to domestic labor, however. An already intensive and expanding usage of machine labor on production lines will be given an additional shot of adrenaline.
• Machines will also be doing more of the ‘grunt’ work in other segments of the economy. Warehouse operations to support online retail sales will increasingly go the robotics route, as will the outdoor and/or underground extraction activities of resource sector firms. Nor will construction be left out of the shifting paradigm, although the pathway is likely to lead along a different but nearly parallel track. With respect to the building of structures, mechanization will become more prevalent through modular assembly.

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Article source: ConstructConnect

There are currently two crises underway simultaneously. The advance of the novel coronavirus is taking a terrible toll in terms of physical and emotional well-being. At the same time, job losses resulting from ‘social distancing’ are sending the economy into a tailspin. To fight on both fronts, governments are advancing rescue packages of never-seen-before dimensions. Every day, the tremendous number of factors in play reconfigure in a new way. These ‘from the trenches’ notes attempt to shed some light along a murky pathway.
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Article source: ConstructConnect

• Traffic congestion in major cities has eased considerably. As a corollary, average driving speeds are faster. When the road ahead is clear, the temptation to put more pressure on the gas pedal is hard to resist. (This is not an endorsement of such a practice.) It’s odd to think that sometime in the future, driverless cars will show more discipline than humans.

• The humble parking lot, whether outdoor or indoor, is taking on a more important and expanded role in today’s economy. Real estate deals are being finalized in parking lots. Documents for signing are being passed back and forth through car windows. Then the pens are thrown away. (This is not an endorsement of such a practice.)

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